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And if you count that he actually WINS the step 5, when he wins the bet, he only has to win like 20% of the time


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He doesn't need to take the bet to play the ministeps, so the amount that he earns through playing doesn't really matter.

Of course, we all agree that adanthar is hugely +EV in the ministeps (a la the fact that nobody's said he's completely insane yet, and this bet is clearly insane for anyone who's break even or a little +EV).

Gl, adanthar; be really cool if you make the full 3k off of a $6 investment.