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Old 12-15-2005, 11:45 AM
schwza schwza is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2003
Posts: 113
Default Re: $50 tournie on UB 10th hand QQ..2 all ins before me!!!

ugh. it's pretty close. you're not that far off from having odds to call if they do have AA and JJ. but i think one of them has AA/KK a lot more often than neither does, so i think the fold is good.

by my rough math you have to win ~25%, and if there's an overpair out you're ~17%, if not then you're ~50%. so you need to see no overpair 1/3 as often than yes overpair ([25-17] * 3 ~= 50-25). i think you'll see an overpair at least 5x as often as no overpair.
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