Re: Willfull suspension of disbelief as it pertains to river play
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I like the overcall.
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Okay, time for me to school some folks.
News flash: He just about never has a 4 here. Your hand is good >90% of the time IMO.
I want to get in more than 1 more bet. He's not bet/folding because he's not that smart. Button has a propensity to call, I want him to call 2 cold some % of the time. I also want the donk to bluff 3-bet sometimes, or 3-bet his weaker hand like an idiot.
Combine all these factors and you can earn more by raising. The overcall isn't guarantee and has a value of less than one BB. The raise is worth more than 1 BB.
Simple enough?
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Very nice concise thorough explanation, thanks.
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