[pzhon]

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Do you always like to gamble for 250BBs on a 50/50 shot?

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In the villain's place, would you call 250BBs with one pair? Sometimes pushing decreases your variance.


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These stacks are very deep, and you dont know what your FE is.

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The folding equity is huge. Expect people to raise/fold with TT-QQ, and perhaps a few hands without a pair. Some people will fold AA. It's particularly valuable to get higher flush draws to fold.

If it were very likely that the villain would call, then it would be much more profitable to bet/3-bet all-in on the flop with sets.

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If the action goes hero pot, villain pot raise, hero push, then if villain calls then you are AT BEST a small favourite over villain.

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It doesn't bother me to be a small favorite in the very unlikely case that the villain calls, and to pick up a small to medium sized pot most of the time.

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The "dead" money is the $30 pot. This is not worth shoving 1k in postflop on a coinflip.
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Consider this kind of action
Hero leads pot (30), villain makes it 120, hero just calls


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At that point, there isn't $30 in the pot. There is $180.

It's tough to get paid off OOP. It makes more sense to try to keep the pot small until you hit when you have position.