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Old 12-07-2005, 04:51 PM
zephed zephed is offline
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Join Date: May 2005
Location: Gorie fan club member #2 and official whittler.
Posts: 611
Default Re: It\'s a nice limit hand, I call with no clue.

[ QUOTE ]
if you bet, do you see yourself getting raised by UTG+1?

would you making it 1/2 make him call, raise fold?

same question if you potted it.

any specific reads on anyone?

[/ QUOTE ]
So far he's indicated weakness, if he raised I'd be suspicious. Would it be more likely he has an overpair than a bluff? I don't read hands as well in NL.

Also, after looking at the hand and his possible holdings, I see villain has 2-3 outs most of the time on the turn, some 4-6 out hands, and the rest ahead.

2-3 out hands (possible combos):
22-66 (30), 88 (6), TT-JJ (12), AK (12) -trouble hand for him, Ax (a lot), K9 (12), 9x (also a lot)

I know some of these aren't very likely

Their odds of improving:
2 outs 21:1
3 outs ~14:1

4-6 out hands:
T8 (16), 86 (16), JT (16), KJ (12), KT (12), A9 (12), QJ (8), QT (8), Q8 (8)

Odds of improving:
4 outs 10:1
5 outs ~8:1
6 outs ~6:1

Ahead:
AA-QQ (13), 99 (3), A7 (8), 77 (1), AQ (8), Q9 (6)


For hand protection, it doesn't really matter if I bet pot or half pot because they will be getting poor odds anyways. But perhaps I can induce more calls with 2-3 out hands by betting half to two-thirds pot? Does that seem like a good strategy? Or is it bad because it puts me in a bad spot on the river?

Because of my weaknesses, I think I should just go ahead and bet full pot on the turn, so that I know where I stand and can play the river easily. Sound good?
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