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Old 07-02-2005, 05:53 PM
Redd Redd is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 44
Default Re: Is river fold correct or Wrong

We really need reads to make a judgement call on the turn. If he's typical, we can assume maybe 99 (3 combos), TT (3 combos), and JJ (6 combos, but a strong redraw on the river). Since he'll probably cap with a better hand, I'd just call down even with the guy stuck in the middle. Of course, if he's donktacular I'd rather 3-bet.

I don't know why nobody likes the river fold; we just figured out we're behind button about half the time. So UTG+1 needs to be check-raising less than the made trips into the pf-capper and very aggressive pf-3bettor more than 1 time in about 6.5. This gets much worse if we add in that it might be 3-bet. I don't think we beat both villains often enough to call here.
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