Re: Fold it here? Overpair JJ vs. all-in raise and call
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If I'm wrong, and call, I basically lose the tourney barring miracles. If I'm right and call, I have a very good shot of winning the the whole tourney, but also a good shot of getting outdrawn.
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Well, that's certainly right.
Where I disagree with you is that his bet screams a set. What about, say ATs.
That being said, do you know anything about villian? Does he bluff? Is he a rock? Or your you on your own.
If you don't have a read -- go with your gut. Many times in these situations, I decide quickly that I've done all the valid analysis I think I can, and all that's left is to just live or die with a decision.
FWIW, my gut reaction was to go for it -- you're about 2-1 in pot odds, and though you're not out of it, being down to 500 chips or so after folding isn't the best.
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