Re: A really bad play?
preflop is close but fine. when it comes back 2 to you i'd consider folding, but the pot looks like it's going to be huge, so i'd stick around, pretty much every single time.
after that, this pot is so frickin' huge and i'm so frickin' lazy i can't determine off the top of my head if this is solid or not, but i suspect you overplayed it. you have to discount your outs slightly for the spades, and you're certainly drawing, your J outs may be tainted (either immediately, or by presenting redraws), and if someone has a set you're drawing dead. so while you're being laid incredible odds, it's possible you'll hit and still lose, and this becomes a far more severe problem if you hit your T on the turn, invest a lot, and get drawn out on on the river.
all that said, i'm too lazy to actually do the math, and the pot is huge, so it's probably not a huge mistake to keep playing, all things considered.
|