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Old 12-13-2004, 08:26 AM
yoshi_yoshi yoshi_yoshi is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: Cambridge, MA
Posts: 54
Default Re: Heads up: % of the time high card wins?

As a rough estimate, I ran this through the twodimes poker analyzer...

Hands:
As 7c
Jh 3s
2c 2s

Dead Cards: 2d 2h

Results:
cards EV
As 7c 0.489
3s Jh 0.369
2s 2c 0.141

This has the effect of a twelve-card deck (since all the 2s are gone) and I've chosen two hands that minimize straight/flush possibilities.

So based on a twelve-card deck, the odds of one of the two players hitting something is approx. 85%. For a regular 13-card deck, you could estimate it at 75-85% I think.

What about hole cards that work together more? I also ran...

cards EV
6s 5s 0.347
Jc Tc 0.567
2s 2c 0.086 (dead cards: 2d 2h)

So with two suited connectors, one of them will hit something in a 12-rank deck a good 93% of the time, meaning 85-90% in a regular deck.
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