[JTG51]

"I assume, as a fan, you know just how ridiculous this is, particularly in college basketball. "

Of course that's true. I thought it was a somewhat interesting probability question burried inside a real life example. Without ignoring the quality of the other teams defense, the question would truly be impossible to answer. I was trying to simplify the situation to make it a solvable math problem. Kind of like all the problems in an introductory physics book on projectile motion when they say, "ignore the effect of air friction for now".

I guess the question is harder than I thought. I figured there's be a relatively simple solution, maybe using standard deviation that I didn't know.