Re: 150k hands graph
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Yuck.
You want him to play 100k hands of 0.5/1?
Nobody needs to play 100k hands of 0.5/1...
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I recommended that he drop down and play a large number of hands at a low limit because it is clear that this guy is stepping up without any reason to believe that he is a winning player. In 150k hands, he went from .50/1.00 to 15/30. This is ridiculous. I doubt that the OP can state with any certainty, the minimum level where he is sure he is a winning player.
According to his shorthand charts:
1.1 BB/100 at .50/1.00 (11k hands)
-1.6 BB/100 at 1/2 (18k hands)
-.7 BB/100 at 3/6 (32k hands)
-.5 BB/100 at 5/10 (26k hands)
-2.6 BB/100 at 10/20 (349 hands)
If I had to guess based on a heinously small sample, I would say he can win at .50/1.00 and is a loser at all higher shorthanded limits. The external discipline of a 100k hand count will help this player much more than just "playing and posting hands."
He is clearly not prepared to play anything other than microlimits, and he should be working on his game at the lowest possible level.
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