</font><blockquote><font class="small">En réponse à:</font><hr />
</font><blockquote><font class="small">En réponse à:</font><hr />
I don't agree. The pot is big and the Hero cannot be 100% certain that he is beat. An extra bet at this point is worth the payoff that he may have the best hand. You only need to be best less than 10% for this to pay off at this point. I'd call to make him show his cards.
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The BB is clearly going to call. So there will be 17 BB's at the end. Hero has to call 2.
He has to be best more often than 10% here and not less. To me that river action screams full house for one of those players.
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There are only gonna be 16BB on the end. BB is putting in 4, MP2 is putting in 4, and you've already put in 2. Add that to the original 6.16, and that's a 16.16BB pot assuming nothing else is taken out for rake.
I really can't see you winning this hand enough to call the river. Do you think a "74/0/0.3 after 81 hands and -- so far, anyway -- he'd been very predictable" kind of player caps a check-3bet with the non-nut flush on a paired board?
I think we're in really bad shape here, and need to fold.