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Old 12-28-2005, 04:55 PM
PhiGamTN PhiGamTN is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 67
Default Re: Live $1/$2 NL Hand

If we can assume the reads are accurate then we know that player 4 will not have aces or kings 95% of the time as he would rereaise these holdings preflop in order to either pick up the pot or thin the field.

We certainly cannot put him on a 3 and why would pocket 8's raise this much?

Since he his a TAG, we can also assume that he is a tricky thinking player who realizes that seat 1 is weak tight and is likely to lay down most hands on this flop (possibly even pairs up to jacks) So he's probably pushing a lot of hands here, the only ones we're extremely worried about is kings and aces which we've ruled out mostly and Ace-King of hearts which is a definite possability and wouldn't be a bad play with all the dead money out there.

We're put in an unforunate spot since we have to decide what to do before we see what the callers do. Player 2 being loose aggresive would probably raise a three here so we're not too worried about him, Player 3 could have a 3 being LP but he only has 75 bucks so we can still win some (not a lot but some) on the side if he calls.

With all the info we have available and the pot laying 3 to 1 i say you have to call, if he turns over ace-king of hearts and you're at a club you might want to run it twice otherwise i think you're good here more then the 33% of the time you need to be.
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