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Old 12-16-2005, 04:50 PM
beachbum beachbum is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 9
Default Re: Blind Defense: Bluffing on flops with an Ace?

HEPFAP SH theory suggests that you "ignore" the top card in HU, just pretend it's not there. This is applicable in this situation since the button has a high ASB% who's hand range is wide. So going solely on the basis of this, you at least have a call on the flop based on your "overcards" to the board's 2nd card. Then, if an obvious c/r card doesn't hit (like a [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]) on the turn, you can bluff c/r representing the Ace. A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] hitting on the turn would make it less likely to push him out of the hand if he's got a big diamond, or less likely to push him out with a hand like 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] because your c/r now looks like a semi-bluff with a flush draw.

Waiting until the turn is a bit more expensive but is more believable than a flop c/r. How often does this have to work to show a profit? Pot on the flop is 4.5 SB. You're spending 3 SB's to win 6. So, minus rake this has to work more than 1 in 3 times.

Also, FWIW my ASB is about 36% and I take it down most of the time on the flop when an Ace hits, whether I have one or not. Also, if my flop continuation bet gets called on an Ace-high flop, I'm usually done putting money in the pot unless the flop is pretty draw heavy. Obviously this is pretty player dependent too.
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