[gergery]

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runner-runner low is worth 2-3 outs in my opinion

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Greg - Pretty close, I think. Depends a bit on exactly what cards are involved, in my humble opinion.

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You were getting ~10:1 so you needed 4 outs and you don't have them.

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I like the approach, but I'm not sure I follow exactly. (What would he need if he was getting ~8:1, or something else?)

Buzz

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With 44 unseen cards, if he was getting 8:1 then he'd need ~5.5 outs, recognizing that with 2 cards to come it is fuzzier math.

I was merely trying to quantify how close the decision was.

-g