Re: Hmmm AQs hand
Because of the turn spade I would narrow his holdings down to a pair with a 4-card gutshot(the ten) and a flush draw. This is the only reason why he'd raise the turn after the c/r bet into him because otherwise he should have 3-bet the flop.
If i'm correct he has a huge draw and is semibluffing/value betting?
When the river comes, if I checked, i would check raise a bet from villian but just call a bet from mp3. The 9 completes an OESD draw which explains why he hung around without betting. (Is this weak or is this prudent given the sitiation?) And I think you have villian beat so might as well get him to overcall for an extra bet.
I say villian has kqs or he also has AQ but feared the set or straight.
Theres a chance he would play AA, QQ or JJ this way fearing the floped straight but i wouldnt say this is likely. I dont think he would have open raised in mp with qjs
|