Thread: Caro Article
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Old 11-30-2005, 04:40 PM
PokerHorse PokerHorse is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 19
Default Re: Caro Article/ cant escape the math

This is fun since i was summarily beaten by the extremists who thought I didnt understand probabilities.
When we think of math in poker, we think of the math of probabilities, yet the bayesian stuff is what applies imo.
The good news is that our brains are so good at recognizing patterns that we learn through experience and think in bayesian terms without knowing it.We are wired this way. So yes pot odds and probabilities have limits but many of the situations that are termed "psychology", are really complex bayesian type problems that we use to decide for example the texture of a hand that an opponent is playing, or is he/she bluffing in this spot etc.
The math and psychology are tied together and there simply nothing we have to do except get alot of experience
playing, and learn to trust our guts.But many of us have problems with our decisions regardless of the math/psych
2 great articles in "Card Player", by Barry Tannenbaum about prospect theory will help many. check them out.
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