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Old 09-26-2005, 10:57 AM
Abbaddabba Abbaddabba is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2005
Posts: 25
Default Re: Probability of dying (no poker content)

The problem with using data from the past is that it'll rarely be a perfectly representative sample of what you can expect.

If you're trying to assess what _your_ probability of dying would be if you were to bungee jump, it's probably a lot lower than the stated statistic. The simple fact that you're concerning yourself with the probability of death means you're going to be going about it in the safest possible way through certified experts, where the risk of death is far lower than it is for the average jumper.

Plane safety has also advanced a lot over the years, so factoring old data into the equation could provide an unrepresentative sample of what the true risk of flying is to passengers of today.
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