Re: Devastating 30 BB hand
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folding a winning hand for one bet on the river in a huge pot is the most costly mistake in poker.
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I don't agree.
Folding the winner here did not really cost you 30BB - more like 0.5BB.
The EV of calling, if you knew you had a 5% chance to win the hand (unlikely in this case) is (0.95 * -1.0) + (0.05 * 30) = 0.55BB.
In this hand, I think that you were likely to win this <2% of the time.
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