[Oblivious]

Obviously Republicans are going to vote for the Republican candidate and Democrats are going to vote for their candidate (even if it is Hillary). The poor approval rating of the current administration suggests that the set of swing voters has grown. Of the population of swing voters, the majority disaprove of Bush and the majority are women. Hillary will take this portion of the swing vote. The portion of the swing vote she wont take is the portion that wont vote for her just because shes a woman (obviously the minority).

If nominated she could take the general election, based on the fact that Bush's approval rating is astoundingly low.