Re: Results
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With that said, don't you think you're overestimating the "only 100xbigblind=gamboool!" factor?
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Perhaps a bit. In a restricted buy game (where the max buy is usually about 33 to 60 times the big blind here in LA) you get a lot more gamble when people are able to reload back or close to their original stack (often you can reload to 1.5 times the original buy-in). In an unrestricted buy-in game, having a stack of only 100 times the big blind is a little on the small side. If the player is on short money, he may be conservative, otherwise he may tend to go with a decent hand here.
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Do you think that holding 22 on that board with that action it's an auto-push? Maybe the move isn't terrible but you seem to be saying I can rule out a set as opposed to a flush draw because it would be so odd for somebody to play a set so conservatively. At this point, it just becomes player-dependent (both whether he really respects my checkraises and whether I think he's afraid to push with a set on that flop). Your first post seems to ring true more than this one. Do you think that 100x the big blind is really a small enough stack that people are in auto-push mode anytime they get alot of action and a good piece of the flop?
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No, not an auto-push, put pushing is a possibility. Try to get into his head. With a set he believes is good, pushing is probably his play if he thinks he is up against a draw or pair/draw combo.
But what he did is call another $105. He could do this as a slowplay if he believes you are weaker. If he thinks you have the straight he can call with a set and get away from an all in bet on the turn (if the board doesn't pair). But he can't be so sure you flopped a straight - there are enough other possibilities. So his call could mean draw or set or weak draw/pair combo (example is the aforementioned A5). Also note that these days some calls can be very scary - he might believe a lot of turn cards will slow you down. In this case it did, giving let's say a flush draw two chances to hit.
He only folds on the flop if he believes he is behind a bigger set and IMO most opponents won't and shouldn't play that scared with this stack size.
In any event, because of stack sizes with any sort of made hand he really is deciding if he is committing all his chips on the flop. That doesn't mean he puts them all in on the flop though.
Regards,
Rick
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