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Old 12-15-2005, 05:08 PM
wyrd wyrd is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 47
Default Re: A rare drawing hand for me

This is a hand I'm willing to go all-in with on the flop. Two overcards and the nut flush draw.

I count two overcards as 4 outs (Ace may be good, may not be. Same with the King). The flush draw is 9 outs. Gives us approximately 13 outs.

13 x 4 - 4 = ~48% to win by the river.

I push this every time all the time, for several reasons;

- If I'm seen folding to a raise often, people will continue to do it. I refuse to be pushed around.
- He may fold. Although I think it'd be rare, it's been known to happen when they're facing a decision for all of their money.
- Even if he calls with a set or AT/KT, you've still got a very good percentage to hit a flush and win.
- He may be raising with QQ or JJ, in which case you're a small favorite to win.
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