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Old 03-22-2004, 10:55 AM
allenciox allenciox is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2003
Posts: 105
Default Re: Longest losing streak?

My longest losing streak is 12 SNGs. By the way, assume you expect to place in 40% of SNGs. Here is the probability that beginning with your next SNG, that you will have a losing streak of the following lengths:

10: .006 (i.e. expect a streak this long once in 160 tourneys)
12: .002 (i.e expect it once in 500 tourneys)
15: .0005 (expect it once in 2000 tourneys)
20: .000037 (expect it once in 27000 tourneys)

most likely, if you experience a streak of less than 10, it could easily be random chance. If it is more than 12, suspect that you are on tilt.
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