[jedinite]

Just some quick thoughts

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CHI+6 @ PIT

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Opened at Chicago +4 and is being bet up by people hammering on Pitt. If you like it now, wait as it might get up to seven.

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OAK-3 @ NYJ

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Two factors you are overlooking, that Oakland is terrible on the road and is probably playing for next year. However with the performance of Road Favorites this year, I can't argue that bad. Personally doesn't look like a lot of value here.

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IND-7.5 @ JAX

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In my opinion, if Indy's smart they lose this game on purpose. I don't think they'd do something like that, but it would help them out tremendously to lose I think - they get to rest their starters for the playoffs, they get to tone down practice a notch, they get to start focusing on the post-season instead of preparing for meaningless games to break a meaningless record. I'm not saying they take a dive, specifically, but I think there's enough of a positive to losing that it might be a factor, at the subconcious level if nothing else (way out on a limb here).

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HOU+6.5 @ TEN

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Houston may be playing for the Reggie Bush sweepstakes and may want to start their third string to look to build for the future.

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SF+15.5 @ SEA

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This spread looks pretty appropriate. Seattle is going to want to win this one quick so they can rest their starters. I wouldn't be suprised to see this a four or five touchdown lead for Seattle at halftime or early third quarter. But I wouldn't bet on either side.

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BAL +14 @ DEN

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This looks like a pretty solid underdog play, but we'll see. Too early for me to weigh in solidly on the value of Baltimore, but I can see this as a low-scoring affair.

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DET+5.5 @ GB

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I like Detroit here as well.

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CIN-12 vs CLE

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Cleveland does have the 10th ranked pass defense (16th overall) which should help to keep this game lower-scoring than many of the recent Cinci shootouts. I expect this to be run-oriented on both sides of the ball. Again, too early to comment on value, just wanted to point out that Cleveland's defense isn't so terrible