Re: Results and Follow-up
AviD,
Let's say 3 of your oponnents have 95% chance of folding, 3 have a 75% chance of folding and 2 have a 50% chance of folding. The chance that they will all fold is about 9% which is not enough to make your move profitable.
I think those estimates are overly optimistic. All you need is one person with a low chance of folding to make this a huge longshot.
You sound like the guy who cold-calls a 3-bet with pocket 2s against your aces, calls all the way on a AKQ flop, catches running twos and thinks he played the hand well. You hit a huge longshot, but that doesn't make it correct.
I'm all for trying to steal a huge pot, but at least have some outs and a smaller nubmer of players.
Hope to see you in AC this weekend.
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