Re: Theoretical tournament risk rating
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Does this have any practical use?
(Other than satisfying your curiosity?)
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it removes alot of the effects of variance, so you can have a better idea of how well you are playing, sooner
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This is in fact a good excercise. I did it after about 200 tournaments and figured out I didn't suck as badly as my results indicated (about 15 buy-in drop over 90 tournaments.... I was such a little bitch back then... I almost quit). It should net you some sort of mean value for your finish distribution, although it doesn't quite show the whole picture. As important as the hands that get called and shown is how often your opponents are dealt hands they can call with and how those holdings will fare against yours. That's much harder to quantify though.
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