[mcpherzen]

[ QUOTE ]
I think you should push and this is why:

Right now you currently lay claim to .1037% of the prize pool.

If you call and win it will be .1914%, 0% if you lose.

We'll assume the villian calls 100% of the time for now.

.1914win% + 0lose% >= .1037

So you have to win over 54% of the time here if the villian calls *every* time.

AQ vs. any broadway is 58% to win. I think we can put the villiant on *at least* any two broadways. And he *will* fold some of the time.


[/ QUOTE ]

This info is, by and large, irrelevant. You have 4 players left to act behind you, all of whom can break you. There is no guarantee this pot will be played heads-up.

That said, I push here every time, and it's not even close. It appears villian is playing enough hands that you can expect to be way ahead of his holding on average. You'd push AK here right, without a second's thought? Villian hasn't done anything to convince you your AK would be good here but your AQ is in big trouble. Plus, lots of opponents that play like this (open a bunch of hands in a row and get all kinds of chips) shut down the moment they catch any action back at them. I expect all will fold to your push at least 3 in 4 times.

--Z