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Old 11-06-2005, 03:58 AM
adanthar adanthar is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 27
Default Re: What i did

This is kinda complicated...first, you figure out your chances of folding in from here (if you are 10 of 11 it's basically the odds of a shortie slightly ahead of you finding QQ+ and going broke) before you bust - let's say they're 50% to make it really simple. Then, you take A6 vs. a random hand (55%-ish.) That makes it mildly +EV to call in a vacuum, but you know he'll push every hand from this point out. Assume you get unlucky and have one 60% vs. random hand in the next 12 with 6 at your table - you are trading a 55% chance of 20 BB with 12 hands and a 60% chance of 16 BB, both of which make you the non-short stack.

Or, you just eyeball it and say 'I'll pick up a > A6 hand in the next few orbits so I'll fold', whichever.
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