Re: Implied odds?
One reason I like DIPO (King Yao's method, see Books/Publications forum) is that implied odds are always factored in and quantified. Others may argue that it's just too much calculation to do at the table, but if you're fast with multiplication, I think it can definitely be done. I'll demonstrate DIPO using your example, and assuming like you did, that UTG will never re-raise.
Good Number:
Expected Pot Size * # outs
= 14 BB * 4 outs
= 56
Bad Number:
# of non-outs * Bet size
= (46 - 4) * 2 BB
= 84
Bad number > Good number so we don't have pot odds to continue. I got to the expected pot size of 14 BB by assuming that UTG calls the turn raise, and that I can collect 1 BB from each of them when I hit on the river (pretty conservative estimate). If I assume the river gets capped like you, I add 6 more BB to the expected pot size and get a good number of:
20 BB * 4 outs = 80
which is still less than the bad number of 84, so this is a fold. No amount of implied odds will make this call profitable.
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