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Old 09-01-2005, 04:36 PM
BruceZ BruceZ is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2002
Posts: 1,636
Default Re: amarillo slim\'s favorite bet

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I was under the impression that Amarillo Slim performed this bet with 30 people, not 25. I think this increases the odds to about %72.

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70.6%, assuming 365 equally likely b-days.

Here are some other stats:

mean: 24.6
median: 23
mode: 20

The mean is the expected value, or the arithmetic average of the number of people it takes to get a match if we repeated this experiment over and over with different people. The median is the number of people it takes to get a match 50% of the time (actually 50.7% here). The mode is the most likely number of people it takes to get a match, or the most common number that results in a match.
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