Re: An In Depth View of Tournament EV and Short Term Variance
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#2. Do you think it is possible to have an 'online read' on a tournament player so strong in order to make -EV calls?(see my call from the 11R)
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i don't believe the read could ever do this, b/c all the read could do is narrow down the range, which would change the EV of the play. possibly a player online could be so predictable that their actions(betsizes ect.) could narrow their hand extremely, to maybe only a few combos. but then that would just change the EV equation.
i think the main confusion here is in finding situations where Tchip EV and real money EV can be vastly different. situations like this do occur more than most people think in online tourneys. that was supposed to be a central theme in my posts supporting betgo's redzone idea.
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