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Old 10-25-2005, 05:09 PM
Paragon Paragon is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: Maryland
Posts: 42
Default Re: 55: 1st hand of tourney, I fold AKo to 4.5BB raise

I like the fold. I would argue the advantage of our position is very small against his range of hands.

The so-called "implied odds" of hitting TP are terrible as well. If he's a multi-tabling TAG, then he can certainly fold JJ-KK on an A flop. What would be the plan for AJx, AQx, KQx, KJx flops as well... Even AKx? These are all way ahead or way behind scenarios. If anything, AK has reverse implied odds, not the other way around. The realistic hope is like K high flop with flush draw or something, and other guy gets confused into thinking you're semi bluffing instead of value betting.

We all agree coinflips for our entire stack at the start of sng's are bad... But what about for half our stack? 1/4 our stack? 10% of our stack? I just muck here as it doesn't even seem like a coinflip.
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