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Old 10-03-2005, 02:57 PM
sweetjazz sweetjazz is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: Rhode Island
Posts: 95
Default Re: Making sure I\'m not a river wus in 6 max

Reasons against betting:
* You won't get paid off by a missed spade draw.
* Even bad players don't play too many hands with deuces.
* You don't know much about the aggression of the players, but UTG's open-limp suggests he may be passive enough to check-call the whole way with a T.
* Many hands that were helped by the J will go for a check raise on the river, so the checks are not necessarily clear indications of weakness. Also a passive player might just check call the river with a hand like QJ instead of betting out.

Reasons to bet:
* Many players are bad enough to call with a lot of hands that lose to 99, such as a pair of 8s, a smaller PP, A high.
* Many players would have found a raise or donkbet by this point with a hand that beats yours.

Honestly, I think the decision is close, so don't sweat it. I might push a razor thin value bet because of the last point, but there are a lot of reasons to check behind as well. I'd guess a value bet here is worth somewhere between 0.0 and 0.1 BB in Sklansky bucks.

PS - Hope you're pro/semipro career is still going well! [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
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