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Old 12-21-2005, 06:55 AM
soah soah is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2004
Posts: 112
Default Re: me folding an A high flush

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terrible fold. he probably has KQ or QJ with a diamond.

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His play is not at all consistent with those hands, especially given his stats. QJo is probably a fold preflop with 19 VP$IP from MP1, and a big bet on the river makes no sense with either hand. Whether those hands would call the turn raise is also debatable.

Even if we know for a fact he'd play those hands this way, there are only four possible combinations of KdQx and QxJd, while there are six combinations of sets (not counting QQ). This would make the river a very thin call. But I think those assumptions are far too generous toward KQ and QJ, and if they are given a more appropriate weighting then the river quickly becomes a fold.
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