Re: reliability (no poker content)
I'm unreliable, but my answer is 25.
Method:
The expected #failures in a 3-hr period is 400/(24*365/3)=.137
The probability of 2 or more failures in a 3-hr period is
1-P(X=0)-P(X=1)= 1-exp(-.137)*(.137)^0/0!-exp(-.137)*(.137)^1/1!= .0857
The expected number of times 2 or more failures will occur in the same 3-hr period over a year is
.0857*(24*365/3)=25.0
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