Re: Was hansen\'s call wrong?
[ QUOTE ]
I think your analysis is also tainted because you aren't allowing for Phillips to push all-in with 99-66 which he often will, especially 99 and 88. He could also make this play with ATs. Remember, he made a big reraise with J9s against Gus.
[/ QUOTE ]
This is an excellent point. Think of it this way, if you play with the cards up and you know what Paul has, then I would probably fold in this spot. However, if you feel that Paul at best has only one overcard or an underpair or less, then you have to call. I agree that Gus probably was certain that Paul didn't have an overpair, except maybe JJ and QQ. So, only two hands that were an absolute favorite that Paul could hold were possible. This means he's either a coin flip or a favorite against any of Paul's other holdings. I think it was a great call myself and he just got "unlucky" as they say.
|