Thread: Big pot with 88
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  #37  
Old 12-05-2005, 10:20 PM
Spicymoose Spicymoose is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 146
Default Re: Big pot with 88

[ QUOTE ]

Sure the turn bet will work out sometimes, as it did in this case, but I really think it has to be significantly -EV. I think that Button alone is ahead of you close to 50% of the time if not more, and add that to MP's piles of outs, you are in trouble.

[/ QUOTE ]

I am picking at things you may not have intended here, but if the button is ahead of me 50% of the time, he takes roughly 4 BB out of the 8 BB pot. Throw in MPs 10 outs, and he takes 20% of the times I was actually ahead, so I still have about 3 whole BB of equity. I am paying 1 BB on the turn, and often when I am behind, I will hear about it. The times they don't let me know, I may pay another BB on the river, but by that point my equity has shot up.

You can tweak the numbers, but this pot is pretty big, and investing 1 BB in a 8 BB pot may not so be bad.
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