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Old 05-17-2004, 12:26 PM
Ed Miller Ed Miller is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Writing \"Small Stakes Hold \'Em\"
Posts: 4,548
Default Re: Old hand to rehash raise the flop/raise the turn debate

This hand is different in a couple of significant ways:

1. You have kings instead of queens. Only one overcard can beat you instead of two.

2. You have only two opponents instead of three.

3. You are in middle position, and the flop raiser has the button. He could easily have just an eight and be looking for a free card. In the other hand, the flop raiser raised from early position into a whole field. That is more likely to be a made hand, rather than a free card play.

The main question is, "How often will I win this hand if everyone stays to the river?" versus "How likely am I to be able to knock players out on the turn?"

The higher the first number, the better 3-betting is. The higher the second number, the worse it is. 3-betting is terrible if the first number is less than 33% in this hand (or 25% in the other one).
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