View Single Post
  #27  
Old 10-14-2005, 03:46 PM
ojc02 ojc02 is offline
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 3
Default Re: Worst hand I played in a while (vs. Flair)

77+,A7s+,KTs+,QTs+,JTs,ATo+,KJo+,QJo
If this is a reasonable approximation of the range of hands he will 3 bet with preflop, then after your equity is 61% on the flop.

He's probably leading out on the flop with anything considering this looked like a blind steal raise, and your read says he's probably worried about that.

When he bets out again on the turn, you figure that cuts his possible hands down to:
99+,AQs-A9s,KTs+,QTs+,JTs,AQo-ATo,KJo+,QJo
At which point your equity is 56%

On the river, im thinking he would 3 bet with this range of cards:
KK-99,ATs,KTs+,QTs+,JTs,ATo,KJo+,QJo
And at this point your equity is only 26% but still more than enough for the 11.5 - 1 pot odds you're getting for the final call.

And, yes, I love pokerstove.
Reply With Quote