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Old 12-21-2005, 02:09 AM
fnord_too fnord_too is offline
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Join Date: May 2004
Location: Norfolk, VA
Posts: 672
Default Re: iMsoLucky0 confuses me.

fold.

This spot really sucks.

Pre flop - If you have been in a lag gear lately you may want to pass this. Actually passing this pre flop first in in MP will never be bad with a deepish stack, but raising is fine too... unless you have reason to believe someone is going to play back at you. Hard to say if iMsoLucky0 has reason to play back at you here. (If you are say coming off a couple of orbits without putting money in pre flop, I think not raising is a mistake without a good reason. Good reasons almost all involve having aggressive and loose or tricky players behind you.)

Flop - ok, the mini c/r is not good for you. You have top pair crap kicker on a dry board. You are way ahead or way behind here, but against a good player who can make plays and may know you know how to fold, you are just in a bad spot. When he continues on the turn, this looks less like a play since it really looks like he is building a pot here, not good. The only way he is bluffing here is if he knows you are capable of folding a one pair hand here. iMso won't be trying to develop a big pot with a one pair hand here, he would either get more in on the flop to increase folding equity/define the hand or he would look to play a small pot. Folding to the mini raise is probably correct, but it is hard getting those odds.

Turn - Make no mistake, your stack is in peril here. The bet is inviting but will make all in on the next action plenty reasonable. Pushing is pretty bad here. Calling is worse. Do what you should have done on the flop and lay down to his aggression in the face of resistance.

If this post doesn't make much sense, I have nodded off twice while typing it. Off to bed for me.
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