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Old 10-06-2005, 06:30 PM
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Default Re: Dont let them get you down.....

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The problem with the 165 to 1 calculation is very successful gamblers (those who you assume can hit 60% in the LR) rarely get 10 very good games worth betting on a weekly basis. So really that calculation doesn't mean anything. The real odds are up in the 4 digits to 1 range.

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Yeah, that was my original point.



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Actually I should've said mid to high 3 digits to 1, not 4 digits.

Also, if I had to hazard a guess about an unforeseen side effect, it would be that the constant losing would erode your betting discipline as the strategy continued. You'd get a few weeks where you hit 7, 8, maybe even 9 games, and develop wild, misguided theories for game-picking to get you over the hump. Maybe you should sign up a psych grad student who can use you as a research specimen and get paid for doing this. [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]
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