Re: Dont let them get you down.....
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The problem with the 165 to 1 calculation is very successful gamblers (those who you assume can hit 60% in the LR) rarely get 10 very good games worth betting on a weekly basis. So really that calculation doesn't mean anything. The real odds are up in the 4 digits to 1 range.
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Yeah, that was my original point.
However, even a monkey has a 1023:1 chance of winning. If even a couple of your bets are well above average, you can drop it under four digits pretty easily.
On the other hand, if I could even come close to finding 10 60% games a week, I'd just bet them all seperately. You'll get to the same place eventually, but with less variance.
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