Re: what is being over-looked. why it\'s not that simple.
Elysium,
Well it is simple math regarding implied odds. If the turn is always capped, you can win 6 big bets plus 2 or 4 on the river. If the turn is capped 50% of the time, and 2 bets 50% of the time, you expect to win 5 big bets plus 2 on the river. Plug in the liklihood of a turn cap and compute your pot odds.
It is a good point. I've folded many times when I knew I was beat and later realized I had the price to call. This special case where you expect extreme action on the future rounds needs to be considered. How about this: you flop a gutshot, two agressive opponents (who "know" you would never chase the gutshot) go to war on the flop. You expect them to escalate on the turn. Maybe you actually do have the implied odds to chase.
Bob
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