Re: Flop decisions...
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Analyze most of the action in an omaha game at these stakes, it's mostly set over set, straight over straight and house over house.
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I happen to play at these stakes on the same site as Adam, and without knowing the specific player, I would say QQ is likely but not certain. There are a fair number of players that would play AA or even Q2 this way.
He's getting roughly 2:1 on his all in call, he's at worst 30% to win the enitre pot, even against QQ with some spade sidecards, and from my experience playing with these people, I'd say QQ is out there maybe 60% of the time.
With these low limit capped buy in games, I'm calling every time. At worst I am slightly -EV. At best I am crushing the field and the only thing out against me is possible Q8 for a two outer and maybe a straight draw that I have crippled with my flush draw.
Folding here is a weak-tight play.
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