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Old 04-24-2005, 08:09 PM
Nottom Nottom is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Hokie Country
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Default Re: AA vs KK odd question

[ QUOTE ]
Hope the math gods can help me figure this out. SOmething strange has happened to me last 2 days.

Out of 9 KK hands I have played (frequency is correct), I have lost 7 to AA

I think odds of AA vs KK is 23:1

SO what would be odds of losing 7 of 9 to AA?

Thanx
Jim

[/ QUOTE ]

I could be wrong, but assume 10-handed table in all cases.

Out of a run of 9 KKs, you will run into AA 7 times about 1 time in 6,436,343. (I just ran 1/23^7*22/23^2 {odds of AA^7 * odds of no AA^2}, this could be an over-simplicication of how do do this)

Against a given AA you should win about 18%, so the odds of those 7 AAs sweeping you are around 3:1.

Odds of running into AA 7 times and having them sweep you is somewhere around 1 in 26 Million.

Obviously, this proves Party is rigged. [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]
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