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Old 12-19-2005, 10:32 AM
c_strong c_strong is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 6
Default Re: Losing value or prudence??

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You're way ahead IMO, if he even has an ace (unlikely) it's very weak. Being 75/25 I think he'll call a small-ish value bet though with whatever he has (a J? pockets? weak A?). If he c/r you then it's possible you are beat, very read dependent on what to do if this happens.

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I agree - I don't think he is likely to have an ace. Bear in mind his flop bet may well have been a c-bet, especially if he identified the ace on the flop as a bluffing opportunity. The ace hitting the turn probably made him think you don't have one (only 2 left in the deck etc.) Of course he could have the boat but given his stats I think you're ahead a substantial amount of the time.
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