Re: Session III Review: Hand 14 Nobody got nuttin
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I would expect to take it down there at least 2 out of 3 times.
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No way do you take it down that often with 3 opponents. But you probably do take it down 1:2, which is what you need to be +EV for a pure bluff, and there's probably a sliver of value here. Betting here is fine.
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What are we going to get called with on the turn? Overcards aren't going to call 1BB for a 3BB pot. Someone would have to have a PP or a J to call I would think. I'd be surprised not to take this down 2 out of 3 times unless I had a read on one of them as a complete calling station.
Since this is 2/4 I wouldn't expect to see AS MANY CS's as .50/1. Even if a previously unknown CS calls we probably have him beat anyways and if he's a true CS he won't bet the river unless he pairs up and maybe not even then.
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