Re: Proper Strategy with 3 left in Mini-Step?
I don't understand the responses so far. Which doesn't mean they are wrong, I just don't understand them.
Isn't this very similar to a standard bubble? The fact that the top two prizes are identical makes shorties even less likely to call an aggressive big stack, since "shooting for first" doesn't help.
Using ICM with .5 for first, .5 for second, and 0 for third, I got the following:
5000 ==> .46
1500 ==> .27
1500 ==> .27
If you double somebody up:
3500 ==> .40
3000 ==> .38
1500 ==> .22
So shorty is risking .27 to gain .11, and you are risking .6 to get .5. Looks like uber-aggression is called for here.
You could try waiting for them to take each other on, but that might not happen for a while. It seems like you should keep pounding on them now so that if they do wake up with a monster later against you, they can't hurt you much.
Am I missing something?
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