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Old 03-12-2004, 11:31 PM
triplc triplc is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2003
Posts: 201
Default Re: Bad play or bad beat?

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please tell me why you reraise, get called and see a turn.

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You are assuming you are going to get called. Your opponent has three options, call, raise or fold. But let's assume that he does call my 600 raise.

OK, there are a ton of scare cards...so what. The only hand that gives him more than 9 outs is 67c. Suppose a scare card does come on the turn. The point is that it is still highly unlikely to have hit him. Less likely than if you let him see the next two cards. If it hits him, and you bet out, yes, you're dead. But you're dead if you push all-in and he calls and his card hits in the next two...Besides, we all know its the river that does us in every time [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img].

If he calls, and a scare card comes, it does make this situation tough, but there is a small chance that a scare card doesn't come, and there is a great chance that the scare card didn't hit him.

Please don't misinterpet me here. I think pushing in here was not a bad play; I think it was a very good play. Her opponent made a huge mistake by calling, and got bailed by luck. But I am starting to wonder about pushing all in when covered in a situation where I might be beaten (JJ, 88, 55) or I might be up against more than 5 outs. As you said, the cards are face down, and I don't know how much of a favorite I am at this point...or if I'm even a favorite. By raising not all-in with the best hand, I am forcing him into another mistake by calling, and I am giving myself an option to bail out with a healthy amount of chips if he reraises me back. This is still very early, and with 980 and the blinds at 15/30 I still have a lot of time to do damage with those chips.

I am no expert...I play $10 games and I don't play them spectacularly, but I've been drawn on enough times by big stacks (bigger than mine, anyway) to at least ponder other options before sliding the bar all the way to the right and committing all of my chips. Timid...perhaps. Once (hell, way more than once) bitten, twice shy.
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