From memory PR $11 Turbo.

BB = 400

Hero has AJo

UTG 1500
Button 3500
SB Hero 4500
BB big stack 5500

UTG raises all in
Button folds
Hero calls
Big stack raises all in

Hero?


I folded, and thought I'd dodged a bullet, but later thought
this might be a mistake.

I thought I'd try ICM before posting this. Please correct my approach if I'm misusing this.

stacks <font color="red">ss</font> button <font color="green">hero</font> <font color="blue">BS</font> Hero equity
start <font color="red">1500</font> 3500 <font color="green">4500</font> <font color="blue">5500</font> .2927
Hero folds, ss loses
<font color="red">0</font> 3500 <font color="green">3000</font> <font color="blue">8500</font> .2922
Hero folds, ss wins
<font color="red">4500</font> 3500 <font color="green">3000</font> <font color="blue">4000</font> .2161
Hero calls, ss wins, bs beats hero
<font color="red">4500</font> 3500 <font color="green">0</font> <font color="blue">7000</font> 0
Hero calls, ss wins, hero beats bs
<font color="red">0</font> 3500 <font color="green">10500</font> <font color="blue">1000</font> .4363
Hero calls, ss loses, bs beats hero
<font color="red">0</font> 3500 <font color="green">0</font> <font color="blue">11500</font> $20

So, it seems both folds are worse, and the only thing bad about calling is the possibility I lose to bs, but not to ss, (how do I figure how likely that is? Is it just routinely "rare"?). What's the correct way to express the equity of going out in third?

Or, should I have pushed instead of calling so I don't have to bother about such thinking. My call was assuming BS would come along and we'd check it down to kill shorty (which was how folks had been playing to now).
I'm figuring the ss is pushing any A, any K, any pair. I'm figuring BS would only re-raise with AA, KK, QQ, AK. possibly AQ, JJ, AJs.
I don't know how to use those reads in this case, however.

Is this the right way to use ICM? Is it any clearer I should call, or is it unclear?
Is there an easier way to post a table like this that's clearer to read?

Thanks!